ANALYZING SINO-BRAZILIAN TRADE RELATIONS (1974 – 2018)

Résumé

Do political factors explain Sino-Brazilian trade relations? This paper aims to analyze how Brazil's political relations with China impacts the trade relations between these two countries, between the years of 1974 to 2018, this period corresponds to the diplomatic rapprochement between the two cited countries. To test whether the political rapprochement between Brazil and China affects trade relations between these countries, we propose a quantitative approach through regression testing. In order to grasp the effect of political relations on Brazil-China trade, the following variables will be analyzed between countries: (i) political convergence at the UN, through the similarity of votes in the General Assembly; (ii) bilateral treaties signed by both countries; (iii) diplomatic posts; (iv) amount of investments and (v) trade balance. Being this last variable the factor to be explained, while the firsts are explanatories.